01
Watch tracked wallets
We monitor a curated set of prediction-market wallets with strong, verifiable on-chain histories — and we show you which ones, and why.
Research-first prediction-market intelligence
Prediction-market research,
We watch high-signal prediction-market wallets, rank the research that comes out of them, and publish the paper results — wins and losses — so you can verify every claim yourself.
Research and education only. Not financial advice.
- Markets covered
- Politics · Sports · Crypto
- Alert windows
- 5m · 1h · 24h
- Results
- Tracked on paper — wins & losses
Ranked research signals
Tracked paper results
Risk note on every card
Benchmarked before automation
How it works
Three steps. No mystery, no hype — just a research pipeline you can audit.
02
Ranked research signals
Wallet activity becomes a ranked research signal: market, entry odds, context, and a risk note. Every signal is framed as research, never instruction.
03
Verifiable paper results
Every signal is logged to a public paper-results tracker — resolved outcomes, timestamps, both the good and the bad. Credibility is the product.
What the alerts look like
Calm, specific, and numbered — across markets and timeframes. Odds in mono so nothing hides in vague language. Each card carries its own risk note.
Politics
24h
SIG-0312
PENDING · PAPER
Will the Fed cut rates at the July meeting?
- Side / entry
- YES @ 0.11
- Tracked wallet
- 0x7f3…a92
- Paper backtest
- +$248,310
- Research rank
- A · high conviction
RISK NOTE Thin liquidity above 0.14 — research context only.
Sports
1h
SIG-0298
RESOLVED · WIN
NBA Finals — series goes to a Game 7?
- Side / entry
- YES @ 0.38
- Tracked wallet
- 0x19c…4d1
- Resolved
- 1.00 · settled YES
- Paper result
- +163%
RISK NOTE Single-game variance is high — past results don't predict future.
Crypto
5m
SIG-0341
PENDING · PAPER
ETH above $4,000 at month end?
- Side / entry
- NO @ 0.57
- Tracked wallet
- 0xab2…7e0
- Wallet edge
- 62% paper hit-rate
- Research rank
- B · moderate
RISK NOTE Fast-moving market — 5m window, treat as research only.
Politics
1h
SIG-0277
RESOLVED · LOSS
Government shutdown before October 1?
- Side / entry
- YES @ 0.44
- Tracked wallet
- 0x5d8…11b
- Resolved
- 0.00 · settled NO
- Paper result
- −100%
RISK NOTE We log losses too — this one missed. That's the point.
Sports
24h
SIG-0350
PENDING · PAPER
Premier League — will the title race go to the final day?
- Side / entry
- YES @ 0.29
- Tracked wallet
- 0xc41…9a3
- Wallet edge
- 58% paper hit-rate
- Research rank
- B · moderate
RISK NOTE Long horizon — context shifts; revisit before resolution.
Crypto
24h
SIG-0264
RESOLVED · WIN
BTC sets a new all-time high this quarter?
- Side / entry
- YES @ 0.41
- Tracked wallet
- 0x8be…02f
- Resolved
- 1.00 · settled YES
- Paper result
- +144%
RISK NOTE Sample of one — never size from a single resolved market.
Cards above are illustrative examples of the alert format. Numbers are not live and not financial advice.
The receipts
We publish tracked paper results — the wins and the losses. Credibility beats a highlight reel, so the misses stay on the board.
Fed holds rates in June
+212%
Underdog wins the cup final
−100%
BTC new ATH this quarter
+144%
Shutdown before October 1
−100%
Tracked paper results, not financial advice. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.
Pricing
Every tier is research and education only. We never trade on your behalf.
Free
$0/mo
- Community Discord access
- Weekly public research recap
- Public paper-results scoreboard
- Education channels & glossary
Most popular
Premium
$25/mo
- Full ranked research-signal feed
- Real-time research alerts (5m · 1h · 24h)
- Risk notes on every signal
- Complete paper-results history
- Tracked-wallet research briefs
Pro
$50/mo
Automation Waitlist
- Everything in Premium
- Priority spot on the automation research waitlist
- Benchmark reports before anything ships
- Early access to research tooling
All tiers deliver research and education only. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.
Questions, answered plainly
Is this financial advice?
No. Nexus Signals is research and education only. Nothing we publish — signals, rankings, paper results, or commentary — is financial advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to trade. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.
Do you offer copy trading or managed accounts?
No. We do not offer copy trading, we do not run managed accounts, and we never trade for you or touch your funds. We publish research; what you do with it is entirely up to you.
Do you promise returns, a win rate, or passive income?
No. Nothing here is guaranteed. We make no return claims and no recurring-income claims — anyone who does should worry you. We publish tracked paper results, including losses, precisely so you can judge the research on evidence instead of promises.
Is the automation live? What is the Pro waitlist?
No — automation is not live, and we will not claim it is until it has been benchmarked transparently. The Pro tier is a waitlist: you get the benchmark research as it happens and priority access if and when automation tooling ships.
What markets and timeframes do you cover?
Politics, sports, and crypto prediction markets, with research alerts across short and long windows (5m, 1h, and 24h). Every alert is framed as research with its own risk note.
Get on the waitlist
Launch updates and the automation-research benchmark series, straight to your inbox. No spam, ever.